What did yesterday’s election tell us? Our sample of outcomes was so small that there is little that we can say that would predict 2014 or even the more distant 2016 election. Yes a Democrat won in New York and that might show an urban exhaustion with the extremism of the Tea Party, but that is not all that unusual for a northern urban area, and Lhota is no Bloomberg. New York City mayoral elections are not, I think, a bellwether for future national elections. Bloomberg served a long time in NYC and the city was probably ready to change parties.